Off the road: How rising fuel costs are pushing ride-hailing captains to the brink – Pakistan

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From riders giving up their means of livelihood to consumers restricting themselves at home, the US-Israel war on Iran is reshaping how Karachi moves.

Amjad Ali Khan, 27, left his hometown of Umerkot and moved to Karachi in 2010 in search of a better livelihood. Over the next decade, he moved from one precarious job to another — working in factories, taking odd shifts at hotels and cleaning bungalows — before finally settling down as a driver. Two years back, he rented two cars — one for himself and the other for his brother-in-law — and signed up on Yango, a ride-hailing service.

Amjad’s earnings rose to roughly Rs12,000 per day, of which over half went to rent and fuel, leaving him with around Rs3,500 to take home and thereby allowing him to call his family of four to the port city earlier this year. But then, war came to the Middle East.

While Pakistanis are no strangers to conflict (with neighbouring India and Afghanistan in recent months), this one, despite not involving Islamabad, hit the country’s jugular vein: a massive surge in petrol prices.

When the United States and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, the impact travelled far beyond the battlefield, disrupting oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz — a corridor that carried 20 per cent of global liquified natural gas and a quarter of seaborne oil. In the aftermath, Pakistan increased petrol prices by a staggering Rs55 overnight, with another rise on the cards in the coming days.

op-ed for Dawn on March 26, he explained that Pakistan’s fiscal envelope is too weak to carry the burden of fuel price subsidies for very long, making a price hike unavoidable within days now.

“Having held them steady for two weeks now, the government is in the unenviable position of having to pass on another major jolt to the people to avoid derailing its fiscal framework altogether,” he wrote.

Simply put, this will make life harder for people like Tahir and Amjad, whose households run on the vehicles they drive.

Qamar Abbas, an inDrive captain and the sole breadwinner of his seven-member family, has been on Karachi’s roads since 2019. Speaking to Dawn, he held the ride-hailing companies — such as Yango, inDrive and Bykea — responsible for the disproportionate burden that has befallen drivers like him.

“Our current rates have not been adjusted since 2018,” he said. “Back then, petrol cost Rs120 per litre … today it stands at Rs322 per litre, but our payments remain the same,” Abbas said, adding that none of the companies had increased per-kilometre rates to adjust to the recent fuel price hike.

Before the war, Abbas was able to take around Rs100,000 home monthly. That has shrunk by 50pc in the last 30 days.

For its part, Parisey Tariq, communications manager at inDrive, said that the company does not approach fuel price movements with a flat or automatic fare increase.

“We keep our pricing fair, and any adjustments are reviewed in the context of overall market conditions rather than a direct pass-through tied only to petrol prices,” she said, explaining that multiple factors, including trip distance, route efficiency, driver availability, time, and broader operating cost pressures, were “continuously assessed” to ensure a fair balance between rider affordability and driver earnings.

In a written response to Dawn, Parisey emphasised that inDrive’s focus was on ensuring fairness for both the drivers and customers, and one of the ways to do that was by supporting drivers through “marketplace measures and incentives, while keeping prices affordable for customers”. However, she did not get into the specifics of these incentives.

undertaking efforts to provide relief to the lower and middle classes, according to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif. “We will not leave the economically weaker section of the society alone in this hour of difficulty,” he said earlier this week.

At a consultative meeting last week, both the federal and provincial governments agreed to introduce a proposed capped fuel subsidy for motorcyclists, while higher-consumption users would pay market-based prices. This would be implemented through a mobile application-based quota system to ensure subsidies reach low-income groups and minimise leakages.

But the question remains: will these policy responses account for those whose livelihoods depend entirely on fuel? And is the government, already grappling with mounting fiscal pressures, even in a position to address such realities at scale? As customers begin to drop off, fuel prices continue to surge, and inflation bites deeper, uncertainty looms large. For ride-hailing drivers, it is reshaping not just their earnings, but the way they work — and increasingly, the experience they offer.

Mustafa Rehman, 28, largely depends on ride-hailing services — motorcycle-based rides — for his daily commute. Of late, he has noticed a behavioural shift in drivers. “There is a lot of negativity, dejection, and depression … they barely interact, and even if they do, it is about their life struggles,” he told Dawn.

Rehman recalled being reached out to by several riders seeking financial help, something that has become very common ever since the fuel price hike. This crunch time was also visible to him — torn seats, missing horns, broken headlights.

Karachi’s Ayesha also narrated a similar experience. Being a frequent conversationalist during her rides between work and home, Ayesha observed that the quality of service provided by the captains had deteriorated. “Obviously, their morale, their attention span, their presence of mind, all these factors matter to someone who is using [the services] daily […] the kind of conversation and feedback I am getting from these captains speaks about the pressure they are under to make ends meet,” she said.

For now, the strain may be contained, but it’s visible in telling ways; the worn-out vehicles, the frustrated drivers, and the conversations that circle back to empty pockets. What was once a routine, almost invisible service, is becoming harder to sustain, both for those behind the wheel and those in the back seat.

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